Archive for March, 2016

March 31, 2016 0

Thursday, March 31, 2016 – ICE Cotton Finishes Strong Despite Bearish USDA Data

By in Daily Reports

The May contract picked up 77 points and closed a bearish overhead gap today despite US planting intentions that were reported higher than expectations, settling at 58.44. Too, we interpreted this week’s export report to be no better than neutral. The settlement was within the upper one quarter of today’s tight trading range. The July contract gained 59 points, settling at 58.31, the net effect leaving the May – July spread strengthened at 9. Volume quickened for May delivery at approximately 22.6K contracts while May OI contracted at just above 109K contracts. Gaps remain above the market on the front month continuation chart at 61.89 – 61.94, 63.91 – 63.97, 66.75 – 66.91, 67.36 – 67.39 and at 77.80 – 78.00. Dec futures gained 32 points at 57.77.

For tomorrow…

March 31, 2016 0

Thursday, March 31, 2016 – USDA Annual Planting Intentions

By in Uncategorized

Corn Planted Acreage Up 6 Percent from 2015
Soybean Acreage Down Less Than 1 Percent
All Wheat Acreage Down 9 Percent
All Cotton Acreage Up 11 Percent

All cotton planted area for 2016 is estimated at 9.56 million acres,
11 percent above last year. Upland area is estimated at 9.35 million acres,
up 11 percent from 2015. American Pima area is estimated at 215,000 acres, up
36 percent from 2015.

The data are not bullish, although the recent rise in CME Nov soybean futures may yet trim acual planted area VS USDa intentions.

March 31, 2016 0

Thursday, March 31, 2016 – Weekly US Cotton Export Results and Commentary

By in Uncategorized

Total net export sales and shipments for the week ending Mar 24 against the current marketing year were again disappointing at nearly 99K and 206K running bales, respectively. Net sales were a bit better than the weekly pace required in order to hit the USDA’s export target while shipments were again off the weekly mark. The US is now approximately 82% and 51% committed and shipped, respectively, Vs the USDA’s 9.5M bale export target. Sales cancelations were just below 13K running bales. Total net sales and shipments will need to average around 93K and 238K running bales, respectively, per week for the remainder of the current marketing year in order to meet the USDA’s projection. Export sales against the 2016/17 marketing year were reported at approximately 35K running bales.

The data released today are not supportive, but also likely not far off most expectations. The market could very well likely not move a great deal until neat 12:00 PM, EST, when the annual planting intentions report is scheduled for release.

March 31, 2016 0

Wednesday, March 30, 2016 – Daily Corn, Soybean and Wheat Market Briefs and Forecast

By in Daily Reports
March 30, 2016 0

Wednesday, March 30, 2016 – ICE Cotton Futures Hold Ground Ahead of Large USDA Data Releases

By in Daily Reports

The May contract picked up 29 points ahead of the weekly US export and annual planting intentions reports, settling at 57.67. The settlement was within the upper one half of today’s tight trading range. The July contract gained 43 points, settling at 57.72, the net effect leaving the May – July spread weakened at (5). Volume was quickened for May delivery at just above 15K contracts while May OI expanded at just above 111K contracts.

For tomorrow…